Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 364.792691 414.314768 469.487698 535.765836 613.553322 702.352351 811.962481
2025-09-07 291.169384 355.810906 434.494038 538.339897 673.314285 844.924297 1083.049211
2025-09-14 245.195207 313.989948 402.669959 527.264273 700.893245 939.012178 1298.738709
2025-09-21 216.234732 287.397843 383.447457 525.472669 735.226315 1042.048790 1541.318444
2025-09-28 187.929122 257.117623 353.932760 503.037889 733.845719 1089.897102 1706.712135
2025-10-05 176.969192 249.276117 354.217404 522.728938 796.656556 1243.683287 2072.332915
2025-10-12 168.848094 244.279848 357.513307 546.589662 868.570803 1423.375270 2522.886719
2025-10-19 157.248757 232.610730 348.977358 549.820823 905.745437 1548.770179 2901.068180
2025-10-26 143.832431 216.709701 331.909434 536.335239 911.068015 1616.203923 3178.229006
2025-11-02 133.003765 203.872654 318.396408 527.047436 922.127001 1695.508149 3498.824222
2025-11-09 127.772223 199.595419 318.524867 541.659838 979.877289 1877.255177 4098.025462
2025-11-16 120.172161 190.679311 309.813198 538.889974 1002.874499 1990.387743 4564.250712
2025-11-23 112.100317 180.497272 298.285973 530.116639 1013.759148 2082.300245 5013.167688
2025-11-30 106.445216 174.057268 292.860771 532.567639 1048.784567 2236.619727 5683.979503
2025-12-07 99.504291 164.785170 281.413017 521.637660 1052.938489 2318.375737 6174.209255
2025-12-14 94.426883 158.457388 274.854374 519.868716 1077.303575 2455.019210 6881.781822
2025-12-21 87.280118 147.852451 259.339656 497.718669 1051.295355 2457.049689 7155.587140
2025-12-28 85.666004 147.338593 263.152071 517.159943 1127.198991 2747.465692 8534.970810
2026-01-04 84.547365 147.648519 268.566758 540.715540 1217.281895 3100.232646 10318.457687
2026-01-11 81.333689 143.709221 265.116097 543.905179 1255.989417 3312.695296 11661.201028
2026-01-18 76.726696 136.760043 254.981588 530.592574 1249.161643 3384.443730 12446.608182
2026-01-25 72.858778 131.026972 246.949494 521.423414 1252.347537 3489.563975 13441.327095
2026-02-01 71.404278 129.993320 248.691180 535.848975 1323.540496 3837.473120 15802.613922